Trust Score 24/100, rank #61 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 92% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #54–66). Consistent D tilt · Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 15th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 3th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±3.7 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 10/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 5.9 | D+5.9 |
| 2000 | 3 | 2.8 | R+2.8 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1.4 | D+1.4 |
| 2018 | 11 | 5.2 | D+4.3 |
| 2020 | 12 | 7.1 | D+7.1 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1.3 | even |
7 polls this cycle; its polls have been close to even with other polls (raw gap R+0.4, adjusted for its 3 polls).
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 | Trump approval | Approve 33, Disapprove 67 | |
| 09-23 | Generic ballot | Democrats 49, Republicans 41 | |
| 09-09 | Maine Governor | Pingree 52, Charles 39 | |
| 09-06 | Maine Senate | Jackson 48, Collins 45 | R+2.6 |
| 09-06 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 47, Rogers 44 | R+0.3 |
| 09-06 | Michigan Governor | Benson 50, James 41 | D+1.7 |
| 07-30 | Generic ballot | Democrats 47, Republicans 39 |
States polled: Maine, Michigan.
Open SSRS in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
SSRS is rated C- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 24 of 100, rank 61 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 5.4 points on average, against 4.1 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 63% of races.
Historically, SSRS's misses leaned D+4.4 on average. In 2026 its polls have been close to even with other polls. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
7 polls in Crosstab's data, including Trump approval, Generic ballot, Maine Governor, Maine Senate, Michigan Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.