Abdul El-Sayed Democrat · Senate
Mike Rogers Republican · Senate
Jocelyn Benson Democrat · Governor
John James Republican · Governor
| District | Incumbent | Crosstab rating | Dem. chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| MI-01 | Jack Bergman (R) | Safe Republican | 5% |
| MI-02 | John Moolenaar (R) | Safe Republican | 0% |
| MI-03 | Hillary Scholten (D) | Safe Democratic | 99% |
| MI-04 | Bill Huizenga (R) | Leans Democratic | 69% |
| MI-05 | Tim Walberg (R) | Safe Republican | 1% |
| MI-06 | Debbie Dingell (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| MI-07 | Tom Barrett (R) | Likely Democratic | 89% |
| MI-08 | Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) | Likely Democratic | 86% |
| MI-09 | Lisa McClain (R) | Safe Republican | 0% |
| MI-10 | John James (R) | Leans Democratic | 64% |
| MI-11 | Haley Stevens (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| MI-12 | Rashida Tlaib (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| MI-13 | Shri Thanedar (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| YouGov | B- | 74 polls | leans D+1 |
| Emerson College | A+ | 48 polls | leans R+1.6 |
| The New York Times/Siena College | A+ | 39 polls | leans even |
| Quantus Insights | New | 32 polls | leans R+3 |
| Rasmussen Reports | C | 31 polls | leans even |
| InsiderAdvantage | C | 31 polls | leans R+1.1 |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | B | 28 polls | leans D+0.6 |
| Marist College | B+ | 27 polls | leans D+1.2 |
| co/efficient | New | 26 polls | leans R+4.2 |
| SSRS | C- | 19 polls | leans D+0.7 |
| Trafalgar Group | B- | 19 polls | leans R+1.3 |
| Wedgewood Polls | New | 15 polls | leans D+0.3 |
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index.
43% approve, 50% disapprove in the average of 1 recent Michigan poll (latest May 3, 2025). Every Michigan approval poll.
El-Sayed leads by 6.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls (El-Sayed vs. Rogers, updated Nov 11, 2026).
Benson leads by 8.4 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls (Benson vs. James, updated Nov 11, 2026).
Updated Nov 11, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds