Trust Score 27/100, rank #59 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 62% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #30–68).
| Trust Score percentile | 18th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 19th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.7 pts |
| Method | IVR/Online Panel |
| Transparency score | 7/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 16 | 4.1 | R+3.9 |
| 2013 | 4 | 6 | D+6 |
| 2014 | 33 | 5.6 | D+3.1 |
| 2016 | 57 | 5.2 | D+3.9 |
| 2017 | 2 | 4.9 | R+4 |
| 2018 | 3 | 6.8 | R+6.8 |
| 2020 | 17 | 2.8 | D+1 |
| 2022 | 7 | 4.5 | R+4.5 |
19 polls this cycle; its polls have been 0.6 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races (raw gap D+0.8, adjusted for its 10 polls); spread 1.3× what its sample sizes predict.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 | Iowa Senate | Turek 47, Hinson 43 | D+2.3 |
| 09-29 | Texas Senate | Talarico 46, Paxton 45 | R+0.9 |
| 09-25 | Ohio Senate | Brown 46, Husted 43 | even |
| 09-25 | Trump approval | Approve 44, Disapprove 56 | |
| 09-24 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 47, Rogers 44 | even |
| 09-24 | North Carolina Senate | Cooper 48, Whatley 41 | R+2.3 |
| 09-24 | Trump approval | Approve 43, Disapprove 56 | |
| 09-21 | Generic ballot | Democrats 49, Republicans 41 | |
| 09-16 | Georgia Governor | Lance Bottoms 45, Jackson 48 | R+4.1 |
| 09-16 | Generic ballot | Democrats 47, Republicans 42 | |
| 09-15 | Georgia Senate | Ossoff 51, Collins 42 | D+2.7 |
| 09-15 | South Carolina Senate | Graham Nordone 48, Andrews 43 | |
| 09-15 | Alaska Senate | Peltola 39, Sullivan 39, J. Sullivan 7, Heikes 6 | |
| 09-14 | Generic ballot | Democrats 47, Republicans 42 | |
| 09-10 | Iowa Senate | Turek 45, Hinson 40 | D+4 |
| 09-10 | Maine Senate | Jackson 46, Collins 45 | R+3.3 |
| 09-10 | New Hampshire Senate | Pappas 45, Sununu 34 | D+9.8 |
| 09-02 | Generic ballot | Democrats 41, Republicans 36 | |
| 08-21 | Trump approval | Approve 42, Disapprove 56 |
States polled: Alaska, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Ohio, South Carolina, Texas.
YouGov · Emerson College · University of New Hampshire Survey Center · The New York Times/Siena College · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Ipsos · InsiderAdvantage · Siena College
Open Rasmussen Reports in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Rasmussen Reports is rated C in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 27 of 100, rank 59 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.9 points on average, against 4.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 67% of races.
Historically, Rasmussen Reports's misses leaned D+1.7 on average. In 2026 its polls have been 0.6 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
19 polls in Crosstab's data, including Iowa Senate, Texas Senate, Ohio Senate, Trump approval, Michigan Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.