Alaska · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Alaska Senate: Peltola vs. Sullivan

Peltola leads by 2.4 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Leans Dem.

Peltola (D)49.3%

Sullivan (R)47.0%

Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast

Peltola 64%36% Sullivan

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Polling average over time

Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

Pollster	Date	Peltola	Sullivan
The New York Times/Siena University	Oct 30, 2026	48	46
Data for Progress	Oct 16, 2026	51	49
Public Policy Polling	Oct 15, 2026	48	47
InsiderAdvantage	Oct 10, 2026	50	48
Siena Research Institute	Oct 3, 2026	50	43
Quantus Insights	Sep 30, 2026	47.2	47.8
Alaska Survey Research	Sep 22, 2026	52	48
Fabrizio/Anzalone	Sep 17, 2026	53	47
co/efficient	Sep 17, 2026	46	49
Alaska Survey Research	Aug 23, 2026	50.6	49.4

The candidates

Mary Sattler Peltola

Democrat · Former U.S. Representative from Alaska (2022–2025)

Talks about: Government reform, Fisheries, Energy costs

Dan Sullivan

Republican · U.S. Senator from Alaska since 2015

Daniel Scott Sullivan is an American politician, attorney, and Marine Corps veteran serving as the junior United States senator from Alaska, a seat he has held since 2015. A member of the Republican Party, he served from 2010 to 2013 as commissioner of the Alaska Department of Na…

Talks about: Water Infrastructure, Diesel Exports, Bycatch Reduction, Veteran Land Allotments, Resource Production