Trust Score 64/100, rank #22 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 52% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #8–30).
| Trust Score percentile | 69th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 60th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.2 pts |
| Method | IVR |
| Transparency score | 6/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 48 | 3.3 | even |
| 2009 | 6 | 5.4 | R+1.7 |
| 2010 | 51 | 3.8 | D+0.5 |
| 2011 | 7 | 5.1 | R+0.3 |
| 2012 | 101 | 3.3 | R+1.9 |
| 2013 | 3 | 12.3 | D+12.3 |
| 2014 | 51 | 4.6 | D+3.3 |
| 2016 | 29 | 5 | D+5 |
| 2018 | 2 | 4.1 | R+4.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | 6.8 | D+6.8 |
| 2022 | 1 | 4.5 | R+4.5 |
10 polls this cycle; its polls have been 0.6 points more Republican than other polls of the same races (raw gap R+1, adjusted for its 7 polls); spread 1.76× what its sample sizes predict.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 | Kansas Senate | Hamilton 45, Marshall 46 | D+3 |
| 07-16 | Nevada Governor | Ford 44, Lombardo 44 | |
| 07-11 | North Carolina Senate | Cooper 48, Whatley 44 | R+5.1 |
| 07-07 | Maine Senate | Jackson 49, Collins 44 | |
| 06-04 | Iowa Senate | Turek 46, Hinson 46 | even |
| 05-23 | Texas Senate | Talarico 45, Paxton 38 | D+3.6 |
| 05-23 | Texas Governor | Hinojosa 44, Abbott 48 | D+1.7 |
| 03-14 | North Carolina Senate | Cooper 47, Whatley 44 | R+13.7 |
| 03-05 | Texas Senate | Talarico 47, Paxton 45 | D+3.3 |
| 02-20 | Ohio Governor | Acton 45, Ramaswamy 44 |
States polled: Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, Nevada, Ohio, Texas.
Open Public Policy Polling in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Public Policy Polling is rated B+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 64 of 100, rank 22 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.2 points on average, against 4.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 78% of races.
Historically, Public Policy Polling's misses leaned D+1 on average. In 2026 its polls have been 0.6 points more Republican than other polls of the same races. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
10 polls in Crosstab's data, including Kansas Senate, Nevada Governor, North Carolina Senate, Maine Senate, Iowa Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.