North Carolina · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

North Carolina Senate: Cooper vs. Whatley

Cooper leads by 11.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Solid Dem.

Cooper (D)53.8%
Whatley (R)42.7%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Cooper 97%3% Whatley
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

374756 53.8% 43.3% Aug 4, 2026Nov 1, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateCooperWhatley
AtlasIntelNov 1, 20265642
YouGovOct 29, 20265544
East Carolina UniversityOct 29, 20265445
Quantus InsightsOct 25, 20265143
RedBox ResearchOct 23, 20265043
ActiVoteOct 20, 20265743
Harper PollingOct 20, 20264939
High Point University/YouGovOct 20, 20265440
SurveyUSAOct 11, 20265440
Trafalgar GroupOct 10, 20264941
Elon University/YouGovOct 8, 20265239
Change ResearchOct 7, 20265040
East Carolina UniversityOct 3, 20265043
Big Data PollSep 29, 20265139
High Point UniversitySep 24, 20265042
Rasmussen ReportsSep 24, 20264841
Quantus InsightsSep 23, 20264843
YouGovSep 23, 20265341
Opinion DiagnosticsSep 20, 20265141
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchSep 20, 20265342
Harper PollingSep 20, 20264939
InsiderAdvantageSep 18, 20264843
YouGovSep 18, 20265241
Carolina Journal/HarperSep 17, 20264934
High Point UniversitySep 16, 20264939
High Point University Survey Research CenterSep 16, 20265042
The Trafalgar GroupSep 10, 20264842
East Carolina UniversitySep 3, 20264639
Elon University/YouGovAug 31, 20264938
High Point University/YouGovAug 12, 20264841
Harper PollingAug 10, 20265239
Change ResearchAug 6, 20265043
Change ResearchAug 1, 20265041
Elon University/YouGovJul 31, 20265342
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJul 27, 20265344
Public Policy PollingJul 11, 20264844
NY Times/SienaJun 27, 20265043
Catawba College/YouGovJun 10, 20264834
Harper PollingMay 11, 20265039
Change ResearchMay 8, 20264942
Opinion DiagnosticsApr 24, 20265041
High Point University/YouGovApr 6, 20265042
Quantus InsightsApr 1, 20264944
Harper PollingMar 23, 20264941
Catawba College/YouGovMar 18, 20264834
Public Policy PollingMar 14, 20264744
Nexus Strategies/Strategic Partners SolutionsMar 9, 20265032
Change ResearchFeb 4, 20265040
TIPP InsightsJan 15, 20264824
Change ResearchJan 7, 20264742
Harper PollingNov 10, 20254739
Harper PollingSep 15, 20254642
Change ResearchSep 8, 20254841
Harper PollingAug 12, 20254739
EmersonJul 30, 20254741
Victory InsightsJul 30, 20254340

The candidates

Roy Cooper
Democrat

Roy Asberry Cooper III is an American politician and lawyer who is the United States senator-elect from North Carolina. A member of the Democratic Party, he previously served as the 75th governor of North Carolina (2017–2025), as the 50th attorney general of North Carolina (2001–…

Michael Whatley
Republican

Michael David Whatley is an American politician and lawyer who was chair of the Republican National Committee from 2024 to 2025. He previously served as chair of the North Carolina Republican Party from 2019 to 2024.

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on North Carolina

All North Carolina 2026 races · Roy Cooper · Michael Whatley · Senate forecast

Questions people ask

Who is winning the North Carolina Senate race?

Cooper leads by 11.0 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Cooper vs. Whatley). Crosstab's forecast gives Cooper a 97% chance to win.

When is the North Carolina Senate election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for North Carolina Senate in 2026?

Cooper (D), Whatley (R).