Trust Score 72/100, rank #12 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 83% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #5–25). Highly accurate · Consistent R tilt.
| Trust Score percentile | 82th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 85th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±1.7 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 5/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 4 | 4.2 | R+4.2 |
| 2004 | 6 | 1.2 | R+0.6 |
| 2008 | 7 | 3.3 | R+3.3 |
| 2012 | 3 | 1.7 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1.9 | R+1.8 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0.5 | D+0.5 |
| 2020 | 4 | 0.9 | D+0.7 |
7 polls this cycle; its polls have been 4 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races (raw gap D+6.7, adjusted for its 6 polls); spread 2.91× what its sample sizes predict (noisier than sampling explains).
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 | Minnesota Governor | Klobuchar 50, Demuth 40 | |
| 08-10 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 43, Rogers 39 | D+5.4 |
| 08-10 | Michigan Governor | Benson 48, James 34 | D+8.7 |
| 05-23 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 40, Rogers 40 | D+3 |
| 05-23 | Michigan Governor | Benson 46, James 35 | D+7 |
| 01-15 | North Carolina Senate | Cooper 48, Whatley 24 | D+19 |
| 08-01 | Georgia Senate | Ossoff 45, Collins 44 | R+2.7 |
States polled: Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina.
Open TIPP Insights in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
TIPP Insights is rated A- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 72 of 100, rank 12 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 2.2 points on average, against 3.4 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 82% of races.
Historically, TIPP Insights's misses leaned R+1.8 on average. In 2026 its polls have been 4 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
7 polls in Crosstab's data, including Minnesota Governor, Michigan Senate, Michigan Governor, North Carolina Senate, Georgia Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.