Nevada · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Nevada Governor: Ford vs. Lombardo

Ford leads by 1.8 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Toss Up.

Ford46.9%
Lombardo45.1%
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Polling average over time

384552 44.7% 44.0% Jul 31, 2026Oct 28, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateFordLombardo
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 28, 20264747
Hart ResearchOct 25, 20264945
RedBox ResearchOct 23, 20264643
Global Strategy GroupOct 13, 20264748
Concord Public Opinion PartnersSep 30, 20264243
Noble Predictive InsightsSep 26, 20263738
EmersonSep 10, 20264442
Tarrance GroupJul 29, 20264350
Public Policy PollingJul 16, 20264444
Wedgewood PollsJul 12, 20264750
Grassroots TargetingJul 6, 20264052
Public Opinion StrategiesJun 29, 20264251
Global Strategy GroupMay 11, 20264245
Noble Predictive InsightsMar 13, 20263839
Hart ResearchFeb 17, 20264346
EmersonNov 18, 20254141
Noble Predictive InsightsOct 13, 20253740
Vote TXTMay 19, 20233051

The candidates

Aaron Ford

Aaron Darnell Ford is an American lawyer and politician who is the governor-elect of Nevada. A member of the Democratic Party, Ford has served as the 34th attorney general of Nevada since 2019. He previously represented the 11th district in the Nevada Senate from 2013 to 2018.

Talks about: Housing, Health Care, Energy, Data Centers, Education
Joe Lombardo

Joseph Michael Lombardo is an American politician and former law enforcement officer serving since 2023 as the 31st governor of Nevada. From 2015 to 2023, he was the 17th sheriff of Clark County, capping a 34-year career in law enforcement. Lombardo is a member of the Republican …

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on Nevada

All Nevada 2026 races · Aaron Ford · Joe Lombardo · Every governor race

Questions people ask

Who is winning the Nevada governor's race?

Ford leads by 1.8 points in the Crosstab average of 5 recent polls (Ford vs. Lombardo).

When is the Nevada governor's election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for Nevada governor in 2026?

Ford, Lombardo.