11 final polls from 2018 to 2022 (average error 4 points): too few to grade. Crosstab grades every 2026 pollster on its own results after Election Day.
4 polls this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 | Trump approval | Approve 42, Disapprove 56 | |
| 08-16 | Generic ballot | Democrats 47, Republicans 42 | |
| 03-13 | Nevada Governor | Ford 38, Lombardo 39 | |
| 10-13 | Nevada Governor | Ford 37, Lombardo 40 |
States polled: Nevada.
Open Noble Predictive Insights in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Noble Predictive Insights has 11 final polls in the 1998–2022 results data, too few to receive a grade (at least 20 graded polls are needed). Its average error was 4 points.
Historically, Noble Predictive Insights's misses leaned R+1.5 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
4 polls in Crosstab's data, including Trump approval, Generic ballot, Nevada Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.