26 final polls from 1998 to 2020 (average error 4.5 points): too few to grade. Crosstab grades every 2026 pollster on its own results after Election Day.
1 poll this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 | Nevada Governor | Ford 43, Lombardo 50 |
States polled: Nevada.
Open Tarrance Group in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Tarrance Group has 26 final polls in the 1998–2022 results data, too few to receive a grade (at least 20 graded polls are needed). Its average error was 4.5 points.
Historically, Tarrance Group's misses leaned R+2.5 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
1 poll in Crosstab's data, including Nevada Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.