Maine · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Maine Senate: Jackson vs. Collins

Jackson leads by 5.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Leans Dem.

Jackson (D)51.2%
Collins (R)46.2%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Jackson 78%22% Collins
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

424854 51.0% 46.3% Aug 5, 2026Nov 2, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateJacksonCollins
Rasmussen ReportsNov 2, 20264946
NY Times/SienaNov 1, 20265145
Survey 160Nov 1, 20265047
EmersonNov 1, 20264951
AtlasIntelNov 1, 20265344
UNHOct 31, 20265445
YouGovOct 29, 20265247
Data for ProgressOct 27, 20265045
SSRSOct 26, 20264945
MaristOct 25, 20265347
MaristOct 25, 20264947
Trafalgar GroupOct 23, 20264747
Echelon InsightsOct 23, 20265144
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchOct 20, 20264949
InsiderAdvantageOct 14, 20264947
Suffolk UniversityOct 11, 20264947
Rasmussen ReportsOct 8, 20264947
The Washington Post/SSPGOct 5, 20265046
MaristOct 4, 20265147
Wedgewood PollsOct 1, 20265248
CBS News/YouGovOct 1, 20265050
Trafalgar GroupOct 1, 20264646
co/efficientSep 30, 20264648
Maine People's Resource CenterSep 29, 20264947
InsiderAdvantageSep 26, 20264646
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20264649
UNHSep 24, 20265147
UMass Lowell/YouGovSep 24, 20264843
Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchSep 22, 20265047
Quantus InsightsSep 15, 20264748
University of Massachusetts/YouGovSep 14, 20264843
Rasmussen ReportsSep 10, 20264645
YouGovSep 8, 20264844
SSRSSep 6, 20264845
Abacus DataAug 28, 20265243
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchAug 10, 20264846
Hart ResearchAug 1, 20264945
UNHJul 20, 20264946
Z to A ResearchJul 8, 20264748
Public Policy PollingJul 7, 20264944
Wedgewood PollsJul 6, 20264843

The candidates

Troy Jackson
Democrat · Former Maine Senate President

Troy Dale Jackson is an American politician and former logger who is the United States senator-elect from Maine. A member of the Democratic Party, he served in the Maine Senate from 2008 to 2014 and from 2016 to 2024, representing parts of northern Aroostook County. He was the Se…

Talks about: Medicare for All, Prescription drugs, Taxing billionaires, ICE, Abortion rights
Susan M. Collins
Republican · U.S. Senator from Maine since 1997

Susan Margaret Collins is an American politician who has served since 1997 as a United States senator for Maine. A member of the Republican Party, she is Maine's longest-serving member of Congress and the longest-serving Republican woman in the Senate.

Talks about: Health Care, Diabetes Research, Alzheimer's, Jobs & Economy, Energy & Environment

In the news

How soon could Mississippi's Senate race be decided?
NBC News · Nov 11, 2026

Who won Jon Ossoff, Mike Collins debate? Georgia reporters discuss - Online Athens
onlineathens.com · Nov 10, 2026

Mika Fawns All Over Troy Jackson, Would Love to Live in Maine, Ex$ept...
newsbusters.org · Nov 10, 2026

Collins vs Jackson: Can Democrats flip the US Senate seat in Maine? - Seacoastonline.com
seacoastonline.com · Nov 10, 2026

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on Maine

All Maine 2026 races · Troy Jackson · Susan M. Collins · Senate forecast

Questions people ask

Who is winning the Maine Senate race?

Jackson leads by 5.0 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Jackson vs. Collins). Crosstab's forecast gives Jackson a 78% chance to win.

When is the Maine Senate election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for Maine Senate in 2026?

Jackson (D), Collins (R).