Maine · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Maine Senate: Jackson vs. Collins

Jackson leads by 1.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Toss Up.

Jackson (D)47.4%
Collins (R)46.4%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Jackson 54%46% Collins
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

444750 47.4% 46.4% Sep 16, 2026Sep 26, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateJacksonCollins
InsiderAdvantageSep 26, 20264646
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20264649
UNHSep 24, 20265147
UMass Lowell/YouGovSep 24, 20264843
Quantus InsightsSep 16, 20264647

The candidates

Troy Jackson
Democrat · Former Maine Senate President

A fifth-generation logger from Allagash in Aroostook County, Jackson worked in the woods before entering politics. He served 20 years in the Maine Legislature, including six as Senate President, and is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, replacing Graham Platner.

Talks about: Health care, Drug prices, Taxes, Middle-class taxes, Immigration
Susan M. Collins
Republican · U.S. Senator from Maine since 1997
Talks about: Health care, Rural health, Drug prices, Medical research, Jobs and training

In the news

New poll shows Troy Jackson slightly ahead of Sen. Collins in race for Senate seat
WGME · Sep 26, 2026

Another new poll shows close Maine Senate race
Spectrum News Maine · Sep 25, 2026

Jackson and Collins Remain Close in Maine Senate Race, Pingree Leads Charles for Governor 9/24/2026
UNH Survey Center + 1 more · Sep 24, 2026

Poll: Susan Collins holds slight edge over Troy Jackson in Maine's Senate race
Maine Public · Sep 24, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.