Trust Score 44/100, rank #42 of 72 (medium confidence; grade held in 58% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #18–62).
| Trust Score percentile | 40th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 32th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.4 pts |
| Method | Online Panel/Text-to-Web |
| Transparency score | 8/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 1 | 2.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2020 | 41 | 4.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2022 | 33 | 4.4 | R+1.9 |
1 poll this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 47, Rogers 46 | R+2.4 |
States polled: Michigan.
Open Data for Progress in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Data for Progress is rated B- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 44 of 100, rank 42 of 72, medium confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.7 points on average, against 4.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 76% of races.
Historically, Data for Progress's misses leaned D+1.7 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
1 poll in Crosstab's data, including Michigan Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.