Iowa · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Iowa Senate: Turek vs. Hinson

Turek leads by 0.6 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Toss Up.

Turek (D)47.8%
Hinson (R)47.2%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Turek 55%45% Hinson
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

414650 47.8% 47.5% Aug 4, 2026Nov 1, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateTurekHinson
NY Times/SienaNov 1, 20264847
AtlasIntelNov 1, 20265146
GrayHouseOct 31, 20264648
Rasmussen ReportsOct 31, 20264647
YouGovOct 29, 20265049
co/efficientOct 28, 20264648
Echelon InsightsOct 23, 20264543
InsiderAdvantageOct 22, 20264547
co/efficientOct 19, 20264548
Trafalgar GroupOct 15, 20264446
GS Strategy Group/New River StrategiesOct 13, 20264644
YouGovOct 12, 20264746
NPA PollingOct 12, 20264447
National Public AffairsOct 12, 20264447
MaristOct 11, 20264845
EmersonOct 6, 20264547
SSRSOct 5, 20264345
Suffolk UniversityOct 4, 20264844
Siena Research InstituteOct 3, 20264748
Rasmussen ReportsSep 30, 20264743
Quantus InsightsSep 29, 20264647
Beacon Research/Shaw & Company ResearchSep 28, 20264947
InsiderAdvantageSep 26, 20264746
Big Data PollSep 26, 202646.542
MaristSep 22, 20265042
Trafalgar GroupSep 19, 20264244
co/efficientSep 16, 20264246
CygnalSep 15, 20264343
Rasmussen ReportsSep 10, 20264540
YouGovSep 8, 20264443
EmersonSep 1, 20264550
Global Strategy GroupAug 31, 20264642
Wedgewood PollsAug 29, 20264850
Abacus DataAug 28, 20265445
Suffolk UniversityAug 23, 20264145
EmersonAug 4, 20264548
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchJun 27, 20265046
NY Times/SienaJun 27, 20264648
CygnalJun 19, 20264446
Global Strategy GroupJun 11, 20264745
Public Policy PollingJun 4, 20264646
Echelon InsightsApr 9, 20264645
GQRMar 16, 20264347
Change ResearchJan 11, 20264144

The candidates

Josh Turek
Democrat

Joshua Peter Turek is an American politician and former wheelchair basketball player who is a United States senator-elect from Iowa. He has served since 2023 as a member of the Iowa House of Representatives from the 20th district. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the part…

Talks about: Minimum wage, Health care, Abortion rights, Campaign finance, Education funding
Ashley Hinson
Republican · U.S. Representative, IA-2, since 2021
Talks about: Housing, Prescription Drugs, Agriculture, Border Security, Government Accountability

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on Iowa

All Iowa 2026 races · Josh Turek · Ashley Hinson · Senate forecast

Questions people ask

Who is winning the Iowa Senate race?

Turek leads by 0.6 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Turek vs. Hinson). Crosstab's forecast gives Turek a 55% chance to win.

When is the Iowa Senate election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for Iowa Senate in 2026?

Turek (D), Hinson (R).