Ayotte leads by 6.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Likely GOP.
| Pollster | Date | Warmington | Ayotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | Nov 1, 2026 | 44 | 50 |
| UNH | Oct 31, 2026 | 48 | 48 |
| National Public Affairs | Oct 29, 2026 | 43 | 52 |
| Rasmussen Reports | Oct 23, 2026 | 42 | 52 |
| Saint Anselm College | Oct 20, 2026 | 42 | 50 |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov | Oct 19, 2026 | 42 | 48 |
| National Public Affairs | Oct 12, 2026 | 38 | 54 |
| YouGov | Oct 5, 2026 | 40 | 49 |
| Saint Anselm College | Sep 29, 2026 | 45 | 52 |
| UNH | Sep 24, 2026 | 43 | 47 |
| NY Times/Siena | Sep 24, 2026 | 41 | 52 |
| co/efficient | Sep 15, 2026 | 34 | 55 |
| UNH | Aug 24, 2026 | 39 | 49 |
| Saint Anselm College | Aug 18, 2026 | 38 | 49 |
| Saint Anselm College | Jun 25, 2026 | 37 | 45 |
| UNH | Jun 23, 2026 | 39 | 44 |
| UNH | Apr 21, 2026 | 39 | 47 |
| Saint Anselm College | Mar 18, 2026 | 39 | 46 |
Cinde Warmington is an American attorney, politician, and former lobbyist. As a Democrat, she served as a member of the Executive Council of New Hampshire from 2021 to 2025.
Kelly Ann Ayotte is an American attorney and politician serving since 2025 as the 83rd governor of New Hampshire. A member of the Republican Party, she served from 2011 to 2017 as a United States senator from New Hampshire and from 2004 to 2009 as the 27th attorney general of New…
Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.
Ayotte leads by 6.0 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Warmington vs. Ayotte). Crosstab's forecast gives Ayotte a 86% chance to win.
Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Warmington (D), Ayotte (R).