New Hampshire · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

New Hampshire Governor: Warmington vs. Ayotte

Ayotte leads by 12.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Likely GOP.

Warmington (D)39.3%
Ayotte (R)51.3%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Warmington 8%92% Ayotte
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Polling average over time

324557 39.3% 51.3% Sep 15, 2026Sep 24, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateWarmingtonAyotte
UNHSep 24, 20264347
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20264152
co/efficientSep 15, 20263455

The candidates

Warmington
Democrat
Kelly Ayotte
Republican · Former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2011–2017)

Updated Sep 27, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.