New Hampshire · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

New Hampshire Senate: Pappas vs. Sununu

Pappas leads by 8.2 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Likely Dem.

Pappas (D)51.3%
Sununu (R)43.1%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Pappas 92%8% Sununu
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

374553 50.8% 43.2% Aug 4, 2026Nov 1, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDatePappasSununu
AtlasIntelNov 1, 20265244
UNHOct 31, 20265442
National Public AffairsOct 29, 20265145
Rasmussen ReportsOct 23, 20265044
Saint Anselm CollegeOct 20, 20265043
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovOct 19, 20264841
National Public AffairsOct 12, 20265045
YouGovOct 5, 20265143
Rasmussen ReportsOct 4, 20264944
Saint Anselm CollegeSep 29, 20265144
Trafalgar GroupSep 27, 20264741
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20265045
UNHSep 24, 20265042
InsiderAdvantageSep 18, 20264840
co/efficientSep 15, 20264646
Rasmussen ReportsSep 10, 20264534
Fabrizio, Lee, & AssociatesAug 30, 20263637
UNHAug 24, 20264345
Saint Anselm CollegeAug 18, 20264841
Peak InsightsJun 27, 20264342
Saint Anselm CollegeJun 25, 20264741
UNHJun 23, 20264744
UNHApr 21, 20264942
EmersonMar 23, 20264544
Saint Anselm CollegeMar 18, 20264643
yes. every kid.Jan 29, 20264541
UNHJan 19, 20265045
NHJournal/Praecones AnalyticaDec 28, 20254236
Guidant Polling and StrategyDec 11, 20254744
Saint Anselm CollegeNov 19, 20254441
co/efficientOct 13, 20254542
UNHSep 23, 20254943
co/efficientSep 12, 20254643
1892 PollingSep 4, 20254543
Quantus InsightsMar 19, 20254453

The candidates

Chris Pappas
Democrat · U.S. Representative, NH-1, since 2019

Christopher Charles Pappas is an American politician who is the United States senator-elect from New Hampshire. A member of the Democratic Party, Pappas has served as the U.S. representative from New Hampshire's 1st congressional district since 2019. He also served on the New Ham…

John E. Sununu
Republican · Former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2003–2009)

John Edward Sununu is an American politician who represented the state of New Hampshire in the U.S. Senate from 2003 to 2009. A member of the Republican Party, he served in the U.S. House of Representatives from 1997 to 2003. He is the son of John H. Sununu and older brother of C…

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on New Hampshire

All New Hampshire 2026 races · Chris Pappas · John E. Sununu · Senate forecast

Questions people ask

Who is winning the New Hampshire Senate race?

Pappas leads by 8.2 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Pappas vs. Sununu). Crosstab's forecast gives Pappas a 92% chance to win.

When is the New Hampshire Senate election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for New Hampshire Senate in 2026?

Pappas (D), Sununu (R).