New Hampshire · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

New Hampshire Senate: Pappas vs. Sununu

Pappas leads by 5.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Likely Dem.

Pappas (D)48.0%
Sununu (R)43.0%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Pappas 84%16% Sununu
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Polling average over time

414651 48.0% 43.0% Sep 15, 2026Sep 26, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDatePappasSununu
Trafalgar GroupSep 26, 20264642
NY Times/SienaSep 24, 20265045
UNHSep 24, 20265042
InsiderAdvantageSep 18, 20264840
co/efficientSep 15, 20264646

The candidates

Chris Pappas
Democrat · U.S. Representative, NH-1, since 2019
John E. Sununu
Republican · Former U.S. Senator from New Hampshire (2003–2009)

In the news

Pappas Opens Narrow Lead Over Sununu in New Hampshire Senate Race, Race for Governor Tightens 9/24/2026
UNH Survey Center · Sep 24, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.