UNH comes out ahead on 4 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | SSRS | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 24/100 ★ | 16/100 |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 5.4 pts ★ | 6 pts |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 1.3 worse | 0.8 worse ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±3.7 pts ★ | ±5.5 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+4.4 | D+2.5 ★ |
| Winners called | 63% | 82% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 30 polls | 116 polls |
| 2026 polls | 19 | 40 |
| 2026 lean versus other polls of the same races | D+0.7 | D+0.6 ★ |
| Race | SSRS (latest) | UNH (latest) |
|---|---|---|
| Maine Senate | Jackson 49, Collins 45 (D+1.3 vs. avg) | Jackson 54, Collins 45 (D+5.1 vs. avg) |
| Maine Governor | Pingree 53, Charles 39 (D+5 vs. avg) | Pingree 51, Charles 40 (D+1.7 vs. avg) |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: University of New Hampshire Survey Center vs. YouGov · SSRS vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Emerson College vs. SSRS · New York Times/Siena College vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · InsiderAdvantage vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Rasmussen Reports vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center
SSRS has the smaller average error (5.4 pts vs. 6 pts). Overall, uNH comes out ahead on 4 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (SSRS: C-, Trust Score 24; UNH: D, Trust Score 16).
Yes: 2 races in Crosstab's data, including Maine Senate, Maine Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-11-11 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.