YouGov comes out ahead on 6 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | UNH | YouGov |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 16/100 | 44/100 ★ |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 6 pts | 5 pts ★ |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 0.8 worse | 0.1 better ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±5.5 pts | ±4.8 pts ★ |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+2.5 | D+1.3 ★ |
| Winners called | 82% | 87% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 116 polls | 481 polls |
| 2026 polls | 31 | 42 |
| 2026 lean versus other polls of the same races | D+0.5 ★ | D+1.4 |
| Race | UNH (latest) | YouGov (latest) |
|---|---|---|
| Maine Senate | Jackson 51, Collins 47 (D+1.5 vs. avg) | Jackson 50, Collins 50 (R+1.1 vs. avg) |
| Maine Governor | Pingree 48, Charles 40 (R+3.9 vs. avg) | Pingree 47, Charles 36 |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: Emerson College vs. YouGov · New York Times/Siena College vs. YouGov · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research vs. YouGov · Rasmussen Reports vs. YouGov · Ipsos vs. YouGov · InsiderAdvantage vs. YouGov · Siena College vs. YouGov · Trafalgar Group vs. YouGov
YouGov has the smaller average error (5 pts vs. 6 pts). Overall, youGov comes out ahead on 6 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (UNH: D, Trust Score 16; YouGov: B-, Trust Score 44).
UNH (D+0.5 versus other polls of the same races) compared with YouGov (D+1.4). Lean describes how a pollster's numbers compare with others; it isn't a measure of accuracy.
Yes: 2 races in Crosstab's data, including Maine Senate, Maine Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.