Suffolk comes out ahead on 5 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | Suffolk | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 68/100 ★ | 16/100 |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 4.1 pts ★ | 6 pts |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 0.7 better ★ | 0.8 worse |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±4 pts ★ | ±5.5 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+1.5 ★ | D+2.5 |
| Winners called | 81% | 82% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 60 polls | 116 polls |
| 2026 polls | 14 | 40 |
| 2026 lean versus other polls of the same races | D+1.3 | D+0.6 ★ |
| Race | Suffolk (latest) | UNH (latest) |
|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts Governor | Healey 59, Minogue 36 (R+1.7 vs. avg) | Healey 55, Minogue 36 (R+5.7 vs. avg) |
| Massachusetts Senate | Markey 60, Deaton 32 (D+2.1 vs. avg) | Markey 53, Deaton 32 (R+7 vs. avg) |
| Maine Senate | Jackson 49, Collins 47 (D+0.3 vs. avg) | Jackson 54, Collins 45 (D+5.1 vs. avg) |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: University of New Hampshire Survey Center vs. YouGov · Suffolk University vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Emerson College vs. Suffolk University · New York Times/Siena College vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · InsiderAdvantage vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Rasmussen Reports vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center
Suffolk has the smaller average error (4.1 pts vs. 6 pts). Overall, suffolk comes out ahead on 5 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Suffolk: A-, Trust Score 68; UNH: D, Trust Score 16).
UNH (D+0.6 versus other polls of the same races) compared with Suffolk (D+1.3). Lean describes how a pollster's numbers compare with others; it isn't a measure of accuracy.
Yes: 3 races in Crosstab's data, including Massachusetts Governor, Massachusetts Senate, Maine Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-11-11 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.