Massachusetts · Senate · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

Massachusetts Senate: Markey vs. Deaton

Markey leads by 25.0 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Solid Dem.

Markey (D)54.9%
Deaton (R)29.9%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Markey 100%0% Deaton
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

264258 54.8% 29.2% Aug 24, 2026Oct 31, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateMarkeyDeaton
UNHOct 31, 20265332
University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGovOct 18, 20265526
Suffolk UniversityOct 17, 20266032
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovOct 12, 20265629
UNHSep 24, 20265330
MassINC Polling GroupSep 22, 20265226
UNHAug 24, 20264930

The candidates

Edward J. Markey
Democrat · U.S. Senator from Massachusetts since 2013

Edward John Markey is an American politician serving as the junior United States senator from the state of Massachusetts, a seat he has held since 2013. A member of the Democratic Party, he served 20 terms as the U.S. representative for Massachusetts's 7th congressional district …

Talks about: Climate/Banking, Permitting Reform, EPA/Data Centers
John Deaton
Republican

John E. Deaton is an American attorney and political candidate. He was the Republican nominee in the 2024 United States Senate election in Massachusetts and the 2026 United States Senate election in Massachusetts, losing to incumbent Democratic senators Elizabeth Warren and Ed Ma…

Talks about: Healthcare costs, Immigration, Energy policy, Congressional ethics, Abortion rights

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on Massachusetts

All Massachusetts 2026 races · Edward J. Markey · John Deaton · Senate forecast

Questions people ask

Who is winning the Massachusetts Senate race?

Markey leads by 25.0 points in the Crosstab average of 5 recent polls (Markey vs. Deaton). Crosstab's forecast gives Markey a 100% chance to win.

When is the Massachusetts Senate election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for Massachusetts Senate in 2026?

Markey (D), Deaton (R).