UMass Lowell comes out ahead on 7 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | SSRS | UMass Lowell |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 24/100 | 80/100 ★ |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 5.4 pts | 3.4 pts ★ |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 1.3 worse | 1.5 better ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±3.7 pts | ±3.3 pts ★ |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+4.4 | D+1.6 ★ |
| Winners called | 63% | 85% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 30 polls | 21 polls |
| 2026 polls | 19 | 3 |
| 2026 lean versus other polls of the same races | D+0.7 | Even ★ |
| Race | SSRS (latest) | UMass Lowell (latest) |
|---|---|---|
| Maine Governor | Pingree 53, Charles 39 (D+5 vs. avg) | Pingree 49, Charles 38 (R+1.1 vs. avg) |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: SSRS vs. YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. SSRS · Emerson College vs. University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion · SSRS vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · New York Times/Siena College vs. SSRS · New York Times/Siena College vs. University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion
UMass Lowell has the smaller average error (3.4 pts vs. 5.4 pts). Overall, uMass Lowell comes out ahead on 7 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (SSRS: C-, Trust Score 24; UMass Lowell: A, Trust Score 80).
Yes: 1 race in Crosstab's data, including Maine Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-11-11 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.