Even: Ipsos and YouGov split the 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | Ipsos | YouGov |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 60/100 ★ | 44/100 |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 4.7 pts ★ | 5 pts |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 0.1 worse | 0.1 better ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±4 pts ★ | ±4.8 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+2.4 | D+1.3 ★ |
| Winners called | 73% | 87% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 175 polls | 481 polls |
| 2026 polls | 14 | 42 |
| 2026 lean versus other polls of the same races | — | D+1.4 |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: Emerson College vs. YouGov · University of New Hampshire Survey Center vs. YouGov · New York Times/Siena College vs. YouGov · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research vs. YouGov · Rasmussen Reports vs. YouGov · InsiderAdvantage vs. YouGov · Siena College vs. YouGov · Trafalgar Group vs. YouGov
Ipsos has the smaller average error (4.7 pts vs. 5 pts). Overall, even: Ipsos and YouGov split the 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Ipsos: B+, Trust Score 60; YouGov: B-, Trust Score 44).
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.