Rasmussen comes out ahead on 4 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | Change | Rasmussen |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 33/100 ★ | 27/100 |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 5.6 pts | 4.9 pts ★ |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 0.7 worse | 0.3 worse ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±4.5 pts ★ | ±4.7 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+3.2 | D+1.7 ★ |
| Winners called | 71% ★ | 67% |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 102 polls | 139 polls |
| 2026 polls | 13 | 19 |
| 2026 lean versus other polls of the same races | D+0.8 | D+0.6 ★ |
| Race | Change (latest) | Rasmussen (latest) |
|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Senate | Cooper 50, Whatley 43 (R+1.9 vs. avg) | Cooper 48, Whatley 41 (R+2.3 vs. avg) |
| Iowa Senate | Turek 41, Hinson 44 | Turek 47, Hinson 43 (D+2.3 vs. avg) |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: Rasmussen Reports vs. YouGov · Change Research vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. Rasmussen Reports · Change Research vs. Emerson College · Rasmussen Reports vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Change Research vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · New York Times/Siena College vs. Rasmussen Reports · Change Research vs. New York Times/Siena College
Rasmussen has the smaller average error (4.9 pts vs. 5.6 pts). Overall, rasmussen comes out ahead on 4 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Change: C+, Trust Score 33; Rasmussen: C, Trust Score 27).
Yes: 2 races in Crosstab's data, including North Carolina Senate, Iowa Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.