Trust Score 73/100, rank #11 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 82% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #5–25). Highly accurate.
| Trust Score percentile | 85th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 81th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.6 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 7/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 51 | 6.3 | R+3.8 |
| 1999 | 1 | 6.1 | R+6.1 |
| 2000 | 51 | 4.2 | R+0.6 |
| 2001 | 2 | 1.5 | R+0.6 |
| 2002 | 37 | 4.5 | D+2.3 |
| 2003 | 2 | 5.8 | R+3.1 |
| 2004 | 62 | 3.2 | even |
| 2005 | 2 | 6.2 | R+6.2 |
| 2006 | 54 | 3.9 | R+1.8 |
| 2008 | 40 | 3.9 | R+1.7 |
| 2009 | 1 | 5.4 | D+5.4 |
| 2010 | 27 | 5 | D+1.1 |
| 2012 | 22 | 6.3 | R+4.3 |
| 2014 | 5 | 7 | D+6.2 |
| 2015 | 1 | 4.1 | R+4.1 |
| 2016 | 8 | 7.7 | D+7.6 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2.7 | R+1 |
| 2019 | 2 | 1.4 | D+0.7 |
| 2020 | 3 | 11.5 | D+11.5 |
2 polls this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 | Texas Senate | Talarico 46, Paxton 43 | R+0.6 |
| 09-15 | Texas Governor | Hinojosa 41, Abbott 48 | R+3.9 |
States polled: Texas.
Open Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy is rated A- in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 73 of 100, rank 11 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.6 points on average, against 5.5 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 85% of races.
Historically, Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy's misses leaned R+0.7 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
2 polls in Crosstab's data, including Texas Senate, Texas Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.