Pollster ratings · Head to head

SSRS vs. SurveyUSA: which pollster is more accurate?

SurveyUSA comes out ahead on 6 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.

 
SSRS
C-
Trust Score 24/100 · rank #61
★ Ahead
SurveyUSA
A
Trust Score 82/100 · rank #4

Head to head

MeasureSSRSSurveyUSA
Trust Score24/10082/100 ★
Average error
how far final polls missed the result
5.4 pts4.2 pts ★
Versus expected
error compared with what its races predicted
1.3 worse0.9 better ★
Consistency
random miss once its tilt is removed
±3.7 pts ★±4.2 pts
Historical bias
closer to even is better
D+4.4Even ★
Winners called63%87% ★
Track record
final polls analyzed, 1998–2022
30 polls698 polls
2026 polls198
2026 lean
versus other polls of the same races
D+0.7Even ★

Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings

More comparisons: SSRS vs. YouGov · SurveyUSA vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. SSRS · Emerson College vs. SurveyUSA · SSRS vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · SurveyUSA vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · New York Times/Siena College vs. SSRS · New York Times/Siena College vs. SurveyUSA

Frequently asked questions

Which is more accurate, SSRS or SurveyUSA?

SurveyUSA has the smaller average error (4.2 pts vs. 5.4 pts). Overall, surveyUSA comes out ahead on 6 of 7 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (SSRS: C-, Trust Score 24; SurveyUSA: A, Trust Score 82).

Which leans more Republican in 2026, SSRS or SurveyUSA?

SurveyUSA (Even versus other polls of the same races) compared with SSRS (D+0.7). Lean describes how a pollster's numbers compare with others; it isn't a measure of accuracy.

Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.

Updated 2026-11-11 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.