UMass Lowell comes out ahead on 3 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | Muhlenberg | UMass Lowell |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 77/100 | 80/100 ★ |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 3.3 pts ★ | 3.4 pts |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 1.2 better | 1.5 better ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±3.3 pts | ±3.3 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | R+0.4 ★ | D+1.6 |
| Winners called | 82% | 85% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 33 polls | 21 polls |
| 2026 polls | — | 1 |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion vs. YouGov · Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion · Emerson College vs. Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · New York Times/Siena College vs. University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion · Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion vs. New York Times/Siena College
Muhlenberg has the smaller average error (3.3 pts vs. 3.4 pts). Overall, uMass Lowell comes out ahead on 3 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Muhlenberg: A, Trust Score 77; UMass Lowell: A, Trust Score 80).
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.