Shapiro leads by 23.9 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Solid Dem.
| Pollster | Date | Shapiro | Garrity |
|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | Nov 1, 2026 | 59 | 34 |
| ActiVote | Oct 21, 2026 | 61.5 | 38.5 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Oct 18, 2026 | 52 | 30 |
| PennLive | Oct 11, 2026 | 58 | 28 |
| Quinnipiac | Oct 5, 2026 | 59 | 34 |
| Z to A Research | Oct 1, 2026 | 53 | 34 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Sep 30, 2026 | 52 | 31 |
| NY Times/Siena | Sep 24, 2026 | 58 | 38 |
| Bravo Group | Sep 22, 2026 | 55 | 28 |
| PennLive | Sep 22, 2026 | 55 | 28 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Aug 23, 2026 | 50 | 25 |
| PennLive | Aug 22, 2026 | 56 | 25 |
| Bravo Group | Aug 22, 2026 | 56 | 25 |
| The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University | Aug 21, 2026 | 55 | 39 |
| National Public Affairs | Jul 30, 2026 | 50 | 43 |
| Quinnipiac | Jul 13, 2026 | 53 | 40 |
| PennLive | Jun 25, 2026 | 54 | 29 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Jun 14, 2026 | 50 | 28 |
| MAD Global Strategy | Jun 11, 2026 | 48 | 31 |
| PennLive | May 24, 2026 | 53 | 29 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Mar 29, 2026 | 58 | 36 |
| Franklin & Marshall College | Mar 1, 2026 | 48 | 28 |
| Quinnipiac | Feb 23, 2026 | 55 | 37 |
| Quinnipiac | Sep 29, 2025 | 55 | 39 |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | Sep 28, 2025 | 54 | 36 |
Joshua David Shapiro is an American politician and lawyer serving since 2023 as the 48th governor of Pennsylvania. A member of the Democratic Party, he was the attorney general of Pennsylvania from 2017 to 2023 and served on the Montgomery County Board of Commissioners from 2012 …
Stacy L. Garrity is an American politician, businesswoman, and former United States Army Reserve officer who has served as the 79th treasurer of Pennsylvania since 2021. A Republican, she defeated incumbent Democrat Joe Torsella in 2020 despite being outraised and trailing in pol…
Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.
Shapiro leads by 23.9 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Shapiro vs. Garrity). Crosstab's forecast gives Shapiro a 100% chance to win.
Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
Shapiro (D), Garrity (R).