Trust Score 38/100, rank #51 of 72 (low confidence; grade held in 38% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #5–70). Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 29th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 21th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±5 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 9/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 3 | 5.5 | R+1.4 |
| 2006 | 4 | 5.6 | R+0.4 |
| 2008 | 2 | 2.5 | even |
| 2010 | 2 | 6.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2012 | 2 | 0.7 | R+0.7 |
| 2014 | 1 | 2.9 | R+2.9 |
| 2016 | 2 | 12.6 | D+12.6 |
| 2018 | 2 | 5.4 | D+5.4 |
| 2020 | 2 | 4.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2022 | 2 | 4.1 | D+3.2 |
3 polls this cycle; its polls have been 0.8 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races (raw gap D+2, adjusted for its 3 polls).
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 | Pennsylvania Governor | Shapiro 50, Garrity 25 | D+0.8 |
| 06-14 | Pennsylvania Governor | Shapiro 50, Garrity 28 | D+3.1 |
| 03-01 | Pennsylvania Governor | Shapiro 48, Garrity 28 | D+2 |
States polled: Pennsylvania.
Open Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research is rated C+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 38 of 100, rank 51 of 72, low confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 5.2 points on average, against 4.9 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 86% of races.
Historically, Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research's misses leaned D+1.3 on average. In 2026 its polls have been 0.8 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
3 polls in Crosstab's data, including Pennsylvania Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.