Stacy Garrity is trailing Shapiro by 21.3 points. Crosstab's forecast gives Garrity a 0% chance to win.
See every poll in this raceStacy L. Garrity is an American politician, businesswoman, and former United States Army Reserve officer who has served as the 79th treasurer of Pennsylvania since 2021. A Republican, she defeated incumbent Democrat Joe Torsella in 2020 despite being outraised and trailing in polls. She won reelection in 2024, defeating Democratic challenger Erin McClelland with 51.9% of the vote.
Education: Sayre Area High School
Stacy Garrity is trailing Shapiro by 21.3 points in the Crosstab average for the 2026 Pennsylvania Governor race, at 35.2% (updated Sep 28, 2026).
Crosstab's forecast gives Stacy Garrity a 0% chance of winning the Pennsylvania Governor race.
Stacy Garrity is a Republican.
Updated Sep 28, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds