Muhlenberg comes out ahead on 4 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | Muhlenberg | Research & Polling Inc. |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 77/100 ★ | 75/100 |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 3.3 pts ★ | 4.2 pts |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 1.2 better | 1.7 better ★ |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±3.3 pts ★ | ±4.1 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | R+0.4 ★ | R+1 |
| Winners called | 82% | 88% ★ |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 33 polls | 43 polls |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion vs. YouGov · Research & Polling Inc. vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion · Emerson College vs. Research & Polling Inc. · Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Research & Polling Inc. vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion vs. New York Times/Siena College · New York Times/Siena College vs. Research & Polling Inc.
Muhlenberg has the smaller average error (3.3 pts vs. 4.2 pts). Overall, muhlenberg comes out ahead on 4 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Muhlenberg: A, Trust Score 77; Research & Polling Inc.: A, Trust Score 75).
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.