Trust Score 75/100, rank #9 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 85% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #2–30). Gold standard.
| Trust Score percentile | 88th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 94th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.1 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 6/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 0.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2000 | 1 | 3.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2002 | 4 | 5.4 | D+1.5 |
| 2004 | 3 | 3.8 | D+2.4 |
| 2006 | 5 | 3.5 | D+0.6 |
| 2008 | 5 | 6.5 | R+5.9 |
| 2010 | 3 | 5.9 | R+0.7 |
| 2012 | 5 | 3 | R+2 |
| 2014 | 2 | 2.3 | R+2.3 |
| 2016 | 1 | 3.2 | R+3.2 |
| 2018 | 4 | 5.4 | R+5.4 |
| 2020 | 5 | 3.8 | D+3.8 |
| 2022 | 4 | 2.5 | even |
YouGov · Emerson College · University of New Hampshire Survey Center · The New York Times/Siena College · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Rasmussen Reports · Ipsos · InsiderAdvantage
Open Research & Polling Inc. in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Research & Polling Inc. is rated A in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 75 of 100, rank 9 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.2 points on average, against 5.9 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 88% of races.
Historically, Research & Polling Inc.'s misses leaned R+1 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.