Trust Score 80/100, rank #6 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 94% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #2–25). Gold standard · Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 92th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 82th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±3 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 9/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 5 | 4.6 | D+2.4 |
| 2000 | 11 | 2.9 | R+1.7 |
| 2001 | 1 | 4.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2002 | 5 | 4.3 | D+4.3 |
| 2004 | 9 | 1.8 | D+0.9 |
| 2005 | 1 | 2.7 | R+2.7 |
| 2006 | 4 | 3.1 | D+2.2 |
| 2008 | 7 | 1.4 | D+0.8 |
| 2009 | 1 | 6.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2010 | 3 | 4.5 | D+4.2 |
| 2012 | 6 | 2.5 | R+2.1 |
| 2013 | 1 | 9.5 | D+9.5 |
| 2014 | 1 | 0.4 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | 5 | 1.9 | D+1.5 |
| 2018 | 1 | 0.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2020 | 7 | 5.5 | D+5.5 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0.6 | D+0.6 |
2 polls this cycle.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 48, Rogers 45 | D+0.7 |
| 09-17 | Michigan Governor | Benson 53, James 41 | D+5 |
States polled: Michigan.
YouGov · Emerson College · University of New Hampshire Survey Center · The New York Times/Siena College · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Rasmussen Reports · Ipsos · InsiderAdvantage
Open ABC News/The Washington Post in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
ABC News/The Washington Post is rated A in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 80 of 100, rank 6 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 3.1 points on average, against 4.2 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 67% of races.
Historically, ABC News/The Washington Post's misses leaned D+1.5 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
2 polls in Crosstab's data, including Michigan Senate, Michigan Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.