New York · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

New York Governor: Hochul vs. Blakeman

Hochul leads by 12.2 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Solid Dem.

Hochul (D)53.4%
Blakeman (R)41.2%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Hochul 100%0% Blakeman
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

344556 53.3% 41.8% Aug 4, 2026Nov 1, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateHochulBlakeman
Research Co.Nov 1, 20265243
MaristOct 25, 20265342
ActiVoteOct 23, 20265941
Siena CollegeOct 22, 20265440
QuinnipiacOct 19, 20265541
Pollfinity ResearchOct 12, 20264744
Beacon ResearchOct 6, 20265331
OnMessage Inc.Oct 6, 20265046
EmersonOct 5, 20265240
MaristOct 4, 20265342
co/efficientSep 25, 20264841
SienaSep 23, 20265041
QuinnipiacSep 23, 20265839
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 31, 20265046
Concord Public Opinion PartnersAug 21, 20265034
Siena CollegeAug 6, 20264939
Moxie StrategiesJul 28, 20264937
Red Oak StrategicJul 12, 20264743
co/efficientJul 2, 20264741
Siena CollegeJun 23, 20265232
Pollfinity ResearchJun 14, 20265040
Siena CollegeApr 30, 20264933
Siena CollegeMar 26, 20264734
Echelon Insights/Tusk StrategiesMar 26, 20265540
McLaughlin & AssociatesMar 8, 20265243
Siena CollegeFeb 26, 20265131
MaristFeb 19, 20265033
MAD Global StrategyFeb 4, 20264734
Siena CollegeJan 28, 20265428
John Zogby StrategiesJan 8, 20265339
Siena CollegeDec 12, 20255025
J.L. PartnersNov 10, 20254736
Siena CollegeJun 26, 20254419
GrayHouseApr 24, 20254436

The candidates

Kathleen C. Hochul
Democrat · Former U.S. Representative from New York (2011–2013)

Kathleen Mary Hochul is an American politician and lawyer who has served since 2021 as the 57th governor of New York. A member of the Democratic Party, she is New York's first female governor.

Talks about: Voting rights
Bruce Blakeman
Republican

Bruce Arthur Blakeman is an American attorney and politician currently serving as the 10th county executive of Nassau County, New York. A Republican, Blakeman was first elected in 2021, defeating Democratic incumbent Laura Curran and becoming the county's first Jewish county exec…

Talks about: Sanctuary policies, Police hiring, Property taxes, Bail and sentencing laws, School mask mandates

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on New York

All New York 2026 races · Kathleen C. Hochul · Bruce Blakeman · Every governor race

Questions people ask

Who is winning the New York governor's race?

Hochul leads by 12.2 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Hochul vs. Blakeman). Crosstab's forecast gives Hochul a 100% chance to win.

When is the New York governor's election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for New York governor in 2026?

Hochul (D), Blakeman (R).