Iowa Senate Rating Drops to Toss-Up as Lead Narrows

Crosstab moved Iowa Senate from Leans Dem to Toss-Up after Turek's average lead shrank to 1.1 points, with top-rated pollsters split on who's ahead.

Iowa Senate: the Crosstab average is Turek (D) 46.6%, Hinson (R) 45.5%: Turek +1.1.

A week ago the average was Turek +2.1; 30 days ago, Turek +0.3.

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Collins-Jackson Debate Comes Amid Toss-Up Maine Race

Maine Senate candidates met for their first debate with Crosstab's average showing a bare 0.8-point Jackson edge in a race already rated Toss-up.

Maine Senate: the Crosstab average is Jackson (D) 48.5%, Collins (R) 47.6%: Jackson +0.8.

A week ago the average was Jackson +0.6; 30 days ago, Jackson +4.9.

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Trump calls for Paxton-Talarico debate as Texas Senate race heats up

Trump calls for Paxton-Talarico debate as Texas Senate race heats up

Texas Senate: the Crosstab average is Talarico (D) 48.1%, Paxton (R) 45.4%: Talarico +2.7.

A week ago the average was Talarico +1.1; 30 days ago, Talarico +3.

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Kansas Senate: Forecast and Bettors Diverge Sharply

Crosstab gives Hamilton a 57% chance in Kansas while prediction-market traders price Democrats at just 38%, a notable gap in a race decided by under a point in recent averages.

Kansas Senate: the Crosstab average is Hamilton (D) 45.9%, Marshall (R) 45.5%: Hamilton +0.4.

The Crosstab forecast gives Hamilton (D) a 57% chance of winning.

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Iowa's move to Toss-up shows how close several Senate races remain, even though Crosstab's overall forecast of Democratic Senate control has barely budged this week.

Iowa's move to Toss-up shows how close several Senate races remain, even though Crosstab's overall forecast of Democratic Senate control has barely budged this week.

Crosstab forecast: Democrats have a 67% chance of controlling the Senate (most likely 52 Democratic seats), 68% a week ago and 57% 30 days ago.

Crosstab rates the race Toss-up.