Xavier Becerra Democrat · Governor
Steve Hilton Republican · Governor
| District | Incumbent | Crosstab rating | Dem. chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA-01 | James Gallagher (R) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-02 | Jared Huffman (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-03 | Kevin Kiley (I) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-04 | Mike Thompson (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-05 | Tom McClintock (R) | Safe Republican | 5% |
| CA-06 | Ami Bera (D) | Safe Democratic | 99% |
| CA-07 | Doris Matsui (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-08 | John Garamendi (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-09 | Josh Harder (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-10 | Mark DeSaulnier (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-11 | Nancy Pelosi (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-12 | Lateefah Simon (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-13 | Adam Gray (D) | Likely Democratic | 91% |
| CA-14 | Aisha Wahab (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-15 | Kevin Mullin (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-16 | Sam Liccardo (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-17 | Ro Khanna (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-18 | Zoe Lofgren (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-19 | Jimmy Panetta (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-20 | Vince Fong (R) | Safe Republican | 0% |
| CA-21 | Jim Costa (D) | Safe Democratic | 99% |
| CA-22 | David Valadao (R) | Likely Democratic | 86% |
| CA-23 | Jay Obernolte (R) | Likely Republican | 9% |
| CA-24 | Salud Carbajal (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-25 | Raul Ruiz (D) | Safe Democratic | 99% |
| CA-26 | Julia Brownley (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-27 | George Whitesides (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-28 | Judy Chu (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-29 | Luz Rivas (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-30 | Laura Friedman (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-31 | Gil Cisneros (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-32 | Brad Sherman (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-33 | Pete Aguilar (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-34 | Jimmy Gomez (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-35 | Norma Torres (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-36 | Ted Lieu (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-37 | Sydney Kamlager-Dove (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-38 | Linda Sanchez (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-39 | Mark Takano (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-40 | Young Kim (R) | Leans Republican | 36% |
| CA-41 | Ken Calvert (R) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-42 | Robert Garcia (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-43 | Maxine Waters (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-44 | Nanette Barragan (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-45 | Derek Tran (D) | Safe Democratic | 97% |
| CA-46 | Lou Correa (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-47 | Dave Min (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-48 | Darrell Issa (R) | Safe Democratic | 96% |
| CA-49 | Mike Levin (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-50 | Scott Peters (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-51 | Sara Jacobs (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| CA-52 | Juan Vargas (D) | Safe Democratic | 100% |
| Emerson College | A+ | 48 polls | leans R+1.6 |
| ActiVote | New | 21 polls | leans even |
| SurveyUSA | A | 8 polls | leans even |
| McLaughlin & Associates | F | 3 polls | leans R+3.2 |
| Berkeley IGS | New | 3 polls | |
| PPIC | New | 3 polls | leans D+1.7 |
| Manhattan Institute | New | 2 polls | |
| M3 Strategies | New | 1 poll | |
| UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot/Politico | New | 1 poll | |
| David Wolfson Poll | New | 1 poll | |
| Independent Voter Project | New | 1 poll | |
| Politico/Citrin | New | 1 poll |
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index.
24% approve, 75% disapprove in the average of 1 recent California poll (latest May 18, 2026). Every California approval poll.
Becerra leads by 23.8 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls (Becerra vs. Hilton, updated Nov 11, 2026).
Updated Nov 11, 2026 · How Crosstab calculates averages and odds