California · Governor · Election Day Nov 3, 2026

California Governor: Becerra vs. Hilton

Becerra leads by 23.8 points in the Crosstab average of recent polls. Crosstab rates it Solid Dem.

Becerra (D)58.9%
Hilton (R)35.1%
Chance of winning · Crosstab forecast
Becerra 100%0% Hilton
Open in CrosstabGet alerts for this race

Polling average over time

324863 58.8% 35.8% Aug 3, 2026Oct 31, 2026
Crosstab average of each day's latest polls (up to six from the past 45 days).

Every poll

PollsterDateBecerraHilton
ActiVoteOct 31, 20266337
Berkeley IGSOct 25, 20266134
SurveyUSAOct 24, 20265432
M3 StrategiesOct 23, 20265936
PPICOct 22, 20266137
McLaughlin & AssociatesOct 20, 20265539
EmersonOct 19, 20266033
ActiVoteOct 16, 20266337
UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot/PoliticoOct 14, 20265535
David Wolfson PollOct 2, 20264640
Independent Voter ProjectOct 2, 20264838
Manhattan InstituteOct 1, 20265739
Politico/CitrinSep 25, 20265436
LA Times/Berkeley IGSSep 24, 20265833
KGTV-TV/SurveyUSASep 23, 20265533
PPICSep 16, 20266038
University of California Berkeley Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/Verasight/TrueDotSep 16, 20265436
University of California, Berkely Jack Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research/TrueDot/PoliticoSep 14, 20264834
Berkeley IGSAug 9, 20265537
PPICJul 6, 20266136
Kreate StrategiesJun 17, 20265833
CEPPMay 26, 20265835
Berkeley IGSMay 24, 20265231

The candidates

Xavier Becerra
Democrat · Former U.S. Representative from California (1993–2017)
Steve Hilton
Republican

Stephen Glenn Charles Hilton is a British-born American conservative political commentator, former political adviser, and contributor for the Fox News Channel. He served as director of strategy for British prime minister David Cameron from 2010 to 2012. Hilton hosted The Next Rev…

Updated Nov 3, 2026. How Crosstab calculates averages and odds.

More on California

All California 2026 races · Xavier Becerra · Steve Hilton · Every governor race

Questions people ask

Who is winning the California governor's race?

Becerra leads by 23.8 points in the Crosstab average of 8 recent polls (Becerra vs. Hilton). Crosstab's forecast gives Becerra a 100% chance to win.

When is the California governor's election?

Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

Who is running for California governor in 2026?

Becerra (D), Hilton (R).