The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
WA-01 (Safe Democratic) · WA-02 (Safe Democratic) · WA-03 (Likely Democratic) · WA-04 (Likely Republican) · WA-06 (Safe Democratic) · WA-07 (Safe Democratic) · WA-08 (Safe Democratic) · WA-09 (Safe Democratic) · WA-10 (Safe Democratic)
Crosstab rates Washington's 5th District Toss-up: Democrats have a 45% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 0.8 points.
Michael Baumgartner (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.