The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
WA-01 (Safe Democratic) · WA-02 (Safe Democratic) · WA-03 (Likely Democratic) · WA-05 (Toss-up) · WA-06 (Safe Democratic) · WA-07 (Safe Democratic) · WA-08 (Safe Democratic) · WA-09 (Safe Democratic) · WA-10 (Safe Democratic)
Crosstab rates Washington's 4th District Likely Republican: Democrats have a 6% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 10.8 points.
Dan Newhouse (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.