The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
WA-01 (Safe Democratic) · WA-02 (Safe Democratic) · WA-04 (Likely Republican) · WA-05 (Toss-up) · WA-06 (Safe Democratic) · WA-07 (Safe Democratic) · WA-08 (Safe Democratic) · WA-09 (Safe Democratic) · WA-10 (Safe Democratic)
Crosstab rates Washington's 3rd District Likely Democratic: Democrats have a 85% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 7.2 points.
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.