The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
MN-01 (Toss-up) · MN-02 (Safe Democratic) · MN-03 (Safe Democratic) · MN-04 (Safe Democratic) · MN-05 (Safe Democratic) · MN-07 (Safe Republican) · MN-08 (Leans Republican)
Crosstab rates Minnesota's 6th District Likely Republican: Democrats have a 8% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Republicans ahead by 9.8 points.
Tom Emmer (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.