The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
MN-01 (Toss-up) · MN-02 (Safe Democratic) · MN-03 (Safe Democratic) · MN-04 (Safe Democratic) · MN-06 (Likely Republican) · MN-07 (Safe Republican) · MN-08 (Leans Republican)
Crosstab rates Minnesota's 5th District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 100% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 72.2 points.
Ilhan Omar (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.