The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
KS-01 (Safe Republican) · KS-02 (Likely Republican) · KS-04 (Safe Republican)
Crosstab rates Kansas's 3rd District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 98% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 14.2 points.
Sharice Davids (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.