New Mexico · 2026 elections

New Mexico 2026 elections

No public polling yet for a 2026 Senate or governor race in New Mexico in Crosstab's data. Here are its House races in the Crosstab forecast.

New Mexico House races

DistrictIncumbentCrosstab ratingDem. chance
NM-01Melanie Stansbury (D)Safe Democratic100%
NM-02Gabe Vasquez (D)Likely Democratic88%
NM-03Teresa Leger Fernandez (D)Safe Democratic99%

The national picture

Chance Democrats win the House
94%
Chance Democrats control the Senate
69%
Generic congressional ballot
D 50.8 · R 42.1
Trump job approval
38.4% approve
60.1% disapprove · Approval polls

New Mexico's House seats are rated by the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. As Senate or governor polls of New Mexico are released, they appear here and in the pollster ratings.

Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.