10 final polls from 2004 to 2022 (average error 4.9 points): too few to grade. Crosstab grades every 2026 pollster on its own results after Election Day.
5 polls this cycle; its polls have been 2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races (raw gap R+4.6, adjusted for its 3 polls).
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 | Florida Governor | Jolly 41, Donalds 46 | R+5 |
| 07-17 | Florida Senate | Moody 50, Nixon 42 | |
| 03-02 | Florida Governor | Jolly 36, Donalds 42 | R+1 |
| 03-02 | Florida Senate | Moody 46, Nixon 38 | |
| 10-25 | Florida Governor | Jolly 34, Donalds 45 | R+7.8 |
States polled: Florida.
Open University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab has 10 final polls in the 1998–2022 results data, too few to receive a grade (at least 20 graded polls are needed). Its average error was 4.9 points.
Historically, University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab's misses leaned D+4.9 on average. In 2026 its polls have been 2 points more Republican than other polls of the same races. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
5 polls in Crosstab's data, including Florida Governor, Florida Senate.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.