Trust Score 24/100, rank #60 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 70% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #33–70).
| Trust Score percentile | 15th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 32th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±4.6 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 7/10 |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 7.6 | R+7.6 |
| 2000 | 5 | 3.6 | R+3.6 |
| 2002 | 6 | 7.1 | D+7.1 |
| 2004 | 3 | 3.8 | R+3.8 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1.5 | R+1.5 |
| 2012 | 2 | 5.7 | R+5.7 |
| 2014 | 7 | 1.8 | D+1.2 |
| 2016 | 9 | 6.6 | D+6.6 |
| 2018 | 6 | 2.5 | R+0.9 |
| 2020 | 6 | 5.8 | D+5.8 |
| 2022 | 4 | 6.4 | R+5.3 |
6 polls this cycle; its polls have been 2 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races (raw gap D+3.4, adjusted for its 6 polls); spread 1.19× what its sample sizes predict.
| Date | Poll | Result | vs. other polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 45, Rogers 45 | D+4.8 |
| 07-29 | Michigan Governor | Benson 46, James 44 | R+3 |
| 06-13 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 47, Rogers 42 | D+3.4 |
| 06-13 | Michigan Governor | Benson 51, James 40 | even |
| 05-07 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 41, Rogers 42 | D+4 |
| 11-21 | Michigan Senate | El-Sayed 38, Rogers 41 | D+11 |
States polled: Michigan.
Open Mitchell Research & Communications in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Mitchell Research & Communications is rated C in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 24 of 100, rank 60 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 4.7 points on average, against 4.6 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 69% of races.
Historically, Mitchell Research & Communications's misses leaned D+1.3 on average. In 2026 its polls have been 2 points more Democratic than other polls of the same races. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
6 polls in Crosstab's data, including Michigan Senate, Michigan Governor.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.