Selzer comes out ahead on 6 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.
| Measure | Selzer | UMass Lowell |
|---|---|---|
| Trust Score | 94/100 ★ | 80/100 |
| Average error how far final polls missed the result | 2.7 pts ★ | 3.4 pts |
| Versus expected error compared with what its races predicted | 2.1 better ★ | 1.5 better |
| Consistency random miss once its tilt is removed | ±2.7 pts ★ | ±3.3 pts |
| Historical bias closer to even is better | D+0.3 ★ | D+1.6 |
| Winners called | 89% ★ | 85% |
| Track record final polls analyzed, 1998–2022 | 35 polls | 21 polls |
| 2026 polls | — | 1 |
Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
More comparisons: Selzer & Co. vs. YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion vs. YouGov · Emerson College vs. Selzer & Co. · Emerson College vs. University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion · Selzer & Co. vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion vs. University of New Hampshire Survey Center · New York Times/Siena College vs. Selzer & Co. · New York Times/Siena College vs. University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion
Selzer has the smaller average error (2.7 pts vs. 3.4 pts). Overall, selzer comes out ahead on 6 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Selzer: A+, Trust Score 94; UMass Lowell: A, Trust Score 80).
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.