Trust Score 94/100, rank #1 of 72 (high confidence; grade held in 100% of 400 resamples, plausible rank #1–3). Gold standard · Transparency member.
| Trust Score percentile | 99th (median 49) |
| Accuracy versus expected | 97th percentile |
| Random miss (consistency) | ±2.7 pts |
| Method | Live Phone |
| Transparency score | 7.5/10 · AAPOR/Roper member |
| Cycle | Polls | Avg error | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | 1 | 9.8 | R+9.8 |
| 2000 | 1 | 1.7 | D+1.7 |
| 2002 | 2 | 2.6 | D+1.2 |
| 2004 | 3 | 2 | D+2 |
| 2006 | 5 | 4.9 | even |
| 2008 | 6 | 2.8 | even |
| 2010 | 3 | 2 | D+0.4 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0.8 | R+0.8 |
| 2014 | 2 | 1.8 | R+0.5 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1.6 | even |
| 2018 | 1 | 4.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2020 | 2 | 1.9 | D+1.9 |
| 2022 | 2 | 0.8 | D+0.8 |
YouGov · Emerson College · University of New Hampshire Survey Center · The New York Times/Siena College · Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research · Rasmussen Reports · Ipsos · InsiderAdvantage
Open Selzer & Co. in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings
Selzer & Co. is rated A+ in the Crosstab Trust Index (Trust Score 94 of 100, rank 1 of 72, high confidence). Its final polls missed the actual margin by 2.7 points on average, against 4.8 expected for the races it polled, and it called the winner in 89% of races.
Historically, Selzer & Co.'s misses leaned D+0.3 on average. Lean describes how its numbers compare; it isn't an accusation of bias.
Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.