Pollster ratings · Head to head

Rasmussen vs. Research & Polling Inc.: which pollster is more accurate?

Research & Polling Inc. comes out ahead on 6 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index, which grades pollsters on how close their final polls came to actual results from 1998 to 2022.

 
Rasmussen Reports
C
Trust Score 27/100 · rank #59
★ Ahead
Research & Polling Inc.
A
Trust Score 75/100 · rank #9

Head to head

MeasureRasmussenResearch & Polling Inc.
Trust Score27/10075/100 ★
Average error
how far final polls missed the result
4.9 pts4.2 pts ★
Versus expected
error compared with what its races predicted
0.3 worse1.7 better ★
Consistency
random miss once its tilt is removed
±4.7 pts±4.1 pts ★
Historical bias
closer to even is better
D+1.7R+1 ★
Winners called67%88% ★
Track record
final polls analyzed, 1998–2022
139 polls43 polls
2026 polls19—
2026 lean
versus other polls of the same races
D+0.6—

Compare them in the interactive Trust Index All pollster ratings

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Frequently asked questions

Which is more accurate, Rasmussen or Research & Polling Inc.?

Research & Polling Inc. has the smaller average error (4.2 pts vs. 4.9 pts). Overall, research & Polling Inc. comes out ahead on 6 of 6 measures in the Crosstab Trust Index (Rasmussen: C, Trust Score 27; Research & Polling Inc.: A, Trust Score 75).

Grades: Crosstab Trust Index, computed from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings data (CC BY 4.0), 1998–2022; 2026 measures from Crosstab's polling data.

Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.