The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
WI-01 (Leans Democratic) · WI-02 (Safe Democratic) · WI-03 (Leans Democratic) · WI-05 (Safe Republican) · WI-06 (Likely Republican) · WI-07 (Safe Republican) · WI-08 (Likely Republican)
Crosstab rates Wisconsin's 4th District Safe Democratic: Democrats have a 100% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 62.2 points.
Gwen Moore (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.