The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
OH-01 (Likely Democratic) · OH-02 (Safe Republican) · OH-03 (Safe Democratic) · OH-04 (Safe Republican) · OH-05 (Safe Republican) · OH-06 (Safe Republican) · OH-07 (Toss-up) · OH-08 (Leans Republican) · OH-09 (Toss-up) · OH-10 (Leans Democratic) · OH-11 (Safe Democratic) · OH-12 (Safe Republican) · OH-13 (Safe Democratic) · OH-14 (Likely Republican)
Crosstab rates Ohio's 15th District Toss-up: Democrats have a 52% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 0.2 points.
Mike Carey (Republican) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.