The rating comes from the Crosstab House forecast, which combines the national environment from generic-ballot polling with each district's political lean. Explore the House map.
OH-02 (Safe Republican) · OH-03 (Safe Democratic) · OH-04 (Safe Republican) · OH-05 (Safe Republican) · OH-06 (Safe Republican) · OH-07 (Toss-up) · OH-08 (Leans Republican) · OH-09 (Toss-up) · OH-10 (Leans Democratic) · OH-11 (Safe Democratic) · OH-12 (Safe Republican) · OH-13 (Safe Democratic) · OH-14 (Likely Republican) · OH-15 (Toss-up)
Crosstab rates Ohio's 1st District Likely Democratic: Democrats have a 85% chance of winning it, and the forecast projects Democrats ahead by 7.2 points.
Greg Landsman (Democrat) is the incumbent.
Updated 2026-10-04 · Crosstab, nonpartisan polling analysis.